Chicken With Sunglasses

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Chicken with sunglasses! You really can’t go wrong here. It’s just the right amount of ridiculousness that makes it the perfect WordPress theme for bloggers, news portals, and viral content websites.

Chicken goes to space. Chicken goes on vacation. Chicken meets a bear.Chicken with sunglasses is in the chicken section of safari park.

Once every 7-10 years, equity markets have seen sharp, temporary falls of 30-60%

In the early 1900s, chicken farmers had a major problem. Their chickens were killing each other! The chickens had a tendency to attack their housemates by pecking away at an injured bird’s feathers, devouring its flesh and eventually killing the attacked bird. Once a chicken was wounded, a strange thing happened. The sight of blood encouraged the entire flock to peck at the injured one, leading to an inevitable death.

How did they solve this problem?

They made their chicken wear red eyeglasses!

The insight was simple. The sight of red-coloured blood intensified the pecking instinct in chickens. The red eyeglasses tricked the chicken from seeing the red colour of the blood, thus reducing pecking and even cannibalism. Suddenly, each one became a good neighbour with a rosier outlook!

Red alert

Now, what does this have to do with investing?

While the equity markets tend to deliver over long periods, it has its own version of red blood every year—the scary temporary declines.

The accompanying chart shows the largest fall recorded during each year for the Sensex, i.e. the fall from the highest index value to the lowest index value during the year. As seen from the red bars, equity markets had a temporary fall each and every year. You read it right. There was not a single year where the markets did not have a temporary fall.

Similar to the chicken, most of us have this tendency to peck at our portfolios (trying to time the markets by moving out and in) at the first signs of red in our equity portfolios.

As with the attacked chicken, we all know what happens to our portfolio returns in the end.

These red eyeglasses based on history simply let us know that a 10-20% temporary fall is almost a given every year.

Inevitably, there is always some new bad news leading to these temporary falls each and every year. While every fall looks like the start of a large market crash, more often than not, it’s just the usual 10-20% temporary decline.

Assume, once we wear the new metaphorical red lens, the 10-20% temporary decline that occurs almost every year becomes invisible when it comes to our portfolio decisions.

Rather, the new lens allows us to ‘unsee’ these temporary declines by enduring them as a fee to be paid for long-term returns and lets us peacefully continue with our long-term asset allocation.

Using history as a rough guide, once every 7-10 years, equity markets have seen sharp temporary falls of 30-60%. While the historical pattern may or may not repeat, this is a reasonable expectation to have.

A 10-20% fall would be considered as normal equity market volatility and requires no major action. However, if there is a larger fall that our metaphorical lens won’t be able to see beforehand, it is better to be prepared with a preloaded plan to take advantage of the crash without panicking.

Pre-decide a portion of your debt allocation (say Y) to be deployed into equities if in case the market corrects.

If the equity market falls by ~20%, move 20% of Y into equities; if the equity market falls by ~30%, move 30% of Y into equities; if the equity market falls by ~40%, move 40% of Y into equities; if the equity market falls by ~50%, move the remaining portion from Y into equities.

Instead of perennially worrying that every 10-20% decline might become the big one, the new metaphorical lens can help us accept and endure this as the normal temporary decline to be expected every year.

Further, if the temporary decline becomes more severe, we are also prepared with the preloaded plan to take advantage of the not-so-frequent market crashes and convert it into an opportunity.

This simple thought process of accepting, enduring and taking advantage of temporary declines can help us stick to our asset allocation plan and let compounding work its magic over the long term.

Farmer gives chickens ‘glasses’ to stop them fighting

Chinese farmer Zhang Xiaolong gave his chickens plastic glasses to stop them fighting – and the specially designed spectacles have worked, he says.

Farmer gives chickens 'glasses'
One of the chickens given ‘glasses’ by the farmer (rubbish, aren’t they?)

Xiaolong, who lives in Xiamen, in southern China’s Fujian Province, reckons the normally aggressive roosters are a lot more peaceful since they started donning their new accessories.

Actually blinkers and not glasses as such, the little specs prevent the birds from seeing straight ahead, making direct confrontation with other roosters more difficult as they’re forced to look around the sides and be more cautious.

‘My roosters were always fighting each other – I was losing ten birds a day,’ said Xiaolong.

‘I was inspired by my own glasses and thought if I could just block their view so they can’t see each other directly, they wouldn’t have fights.

‘It has worked really well. They can’t attack each other so confrontations have been minimised.’

Xiaolong isn’t the first to have the chicken/spectacle idea, though, with the practice dating back as far as the 1950s.

We know this much since education project officer Tracey Lloyd recently stumbled upon a pair of plastic glasses on an allotment , finding out from informative types at the Museum of Lancashire shortly afterwards that they’d once been used as a cure for hens who peck each other’s feathers out.

Her discovery was then chosen for display in central London’s British Optical Association Museum.

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